Seasonal Navigation: When to Plant and When to Harvest
Economy does not move in a straight line, but in circles or cycles. Understanding where we are helps you avoid buying at the top (Overheat) or selling at the bottom (Reflation).
REFLATION
Markets begin recovering from crisis. Liquidity starts being injected back. Best time for accumulation.
EXPANSION
Economy grows steadily. Abundant liquidity. Asset prices usually rise consistently.
OVERHEAT
High inflation. Fed begins raising rates. Be cautious of a potential reversal.
TIGHTENING
Liquidity withdrawn. High interest rates. Markets tend to decline or stagnate.
Core Question: 'Which season is currently running in the market?'